clinton

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I came across two helpful election web sites today.

First, I had a hell of a time figuring out when polls closed on Super Tuesday before the date. Now it’s all over Google, but I couldn’t find out when the polls closed today on “Significant Saturday” or whatever stupid name they’re giving it. I finally found it on Time’s The Page blog. Man, who knew that Time was all hip to the blogging?

The other thing I found was this list of currently pledged superdelegates for the Democrats. The superdelegates have any time up to the convention to make (or change) their votes, but it seems unlikely that these early announcers will unless there is a clear leader.

Speaking of which, Luis and I were chatting today and he made the point that right now both Democratic candidates have about 900 pledged delegates, with about another 1400 outstanding. You need about 2000 delegates to win the nomination, which means that an impossible landslide victory would be needed to get 1100 of 1400 delegates to win outright without the superdelegates. Either Clinton or Obama would have to sweep the big ones of Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania by huge (30+ point) margins, not to mention Washington, Louisiana, North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Indiana, Wisconsin, Puerto Rico, etc. etc. Seems pretty unlikely at this point.

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An interesting set of statistics I hadn’t yet seen today, from the Time Swampland blog, about the overall popular vote:

TOTAL VOTES CAST
Clinton: 50.2% (7,347,971)
Obama: 49.8% (7,294,851)

Clinton won the popular vote by only 0.4% — roughly 50,000 votes out of 14.6 million cast.

It also has a comparison of “get out the vote” numbers between the Democrats and the GOP in the 19 races that were equal for both parties:

Obama/Clinton voters: 14,460,149
McCain/Romney/Huckabee voters: 8,367,694

Or, 73% more Democratic voters than Republican voters.

It’ll be an interesting spring and summer, that’s for sure. While I am firmly in the Obama camp (for many of the same reasons Luis and Larry Lessig so eloquently articulated), I suspect this whole thing won’t be decided until the superdelegates make a decision at the convention in late August.

And thank you Robert for live-micro-blogging the event on Twitter while I watched the Bruins get whipped by the Sabres. You are a wolf.

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